Murrey Math Lines

13 Those Mystical Lines v 2.0 - Murrey Math Lines

Murrey math lines comprise 9 equidistant lines which run parallel to one another. MM lines from the bottom are at the levels 0/8, 1/8, 2/8, 3/8, 4/8, 5/8, 6/8, 7/8 and 8/8. 0/8 is the oversold line and 8/8 the overbought line; these are the hardest lines to cross and around 75% of the time, the crossing triggers price reversal. The range between 3/8 and 5/8 is the normal trading range and price tends to consolidate at these levels before falling (3/8 line) or rising (5/8) beyond this trading range.

Like Fibonacci retracements, when the price is between two lines, the upper line is considered as resistance and lower line is considered as support. When the price rises above 5/8 and touches 6/8, it has a tendency to reverse to retest the 5/8 level before heading high. The same is also applicable to downtrends; the price tends to reverse to retest the 3/8 level before heading down.



Caution: Murrey Math lines are a set of support and resistance lines and like any such line are NOT predictive. Which means that when you trade with these lines, there is a risk inherent in the trade, which is mitigated by the "likelihood" of price moving in the direction suggested by Murrey. Hence, any trading strategy based on Murrey Math lines or MML must have a strong risk management or stop loss overlay to avoid losing capital

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13.1 Murrey Math Lines - Understanding the Levels

This graphic illustrates the following:
8/8: Hardest line to rise above (overbought)
7/8: Fast reverse line (weak)
6/8: Pivot reverse line
5/8: Upper trading range
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4/8: Major reversal line
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3/8: Lower trading range
2/8: Pivot reverse line
1/8: Fast reverse line (weak)
0/8: Hardest line to fall below (oversold)

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What this is showing us is that many times, if price is above the 5/8 line and falling, it will generally stop and consolidate around 5/8 first before heading lower. The same is true in the opposite direction: if price is below the 3/8 line and rising, it will generally stop and consolidate around the 3/8 line before heading higher.

On top of that, if price is between the 5/8 line and 6/8 line and heading higher, the tendency is to bounce off/reverse off the 6/8 line and retest 5/8 before heading higher. The same is true for shorts, if price is between the 3/8 line and 2/8 line and heading lower, it tends to bounce off the 2/8 line and retest 3/8 before heading lower.

Why does price do this? Remember, price is between the 3/8 and 5/8 line about 43% of the time. So before it jumps outside of its comfort zone, it needs to be sure (hence the retest).

Now let's take a quick look at what happens when price moves above 8/8 or below 0/8. This does not occur too often, but when it does it's important to know what to expect.



The above illustration tells us the following: If price moves above 8/8, 75% of the time the price will reverse off the +1/8 line and retest 8/8 before moving higher to +2/8. Similarly, if price falls below 0/8, 75% of the time the price will reverse off the -1/8 line and retest 0/8 before moving lower to -2/8.

Now, if price moves beyond the +1/8 or -1/8 lines, then 95% of the time it will reverse when it hits +2/8 or -2/8. Remember, the market was already in overbought (8/8) or oversold (0/8) mode, so once we push that to the extreme (+2/8 or -2/8) it is extremely unlikely (95% chance) to reverse.